The Predictioneer’s Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
- ISBN13: 9781400067879
- Condition: NEW
- Notes: Brand New from Publisher. No Remainder Mark.
Product Description
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a master of game theory, which is a fancy label for a simple idea: People compete, and they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory and its insights into human behavior to predict and even engineer political, financial, and personal events. His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major business firms, have an amazing 90 percent accuracy rate, and in this dazzling and revelatory book he shares his startling methods and lets you play along in a range of high-stakes negotiations and conflicts.
Revealing the origins of game theory and the advances made by John Nash, the Nobel Prize—winning scientist perhaps best known from A Beautiful Mind, Bueno de Mesquita details the controversial and cold-eyed system of calculation that he has since created, one that allows individuals to think strategically about what their opponents want, how much they want… More >>
The Predictioneer’s Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
I found it to be a pretty good read. Highly recommend it if you have an interest in global affairs or theoretical modeling.
Rating: 3 / 5
So cool. This is totally one of those books that makes you see the everyday world in a different light. Whether it’s global warming, corporate fraud, or the rise and fall of the Catholic Church…the author interprets everything based on how people pursue their interests, and how that shapes outcomes and consequences. There’s a bit of tough thinking to do to apply this kind of thought process to every little decision – but it makes a lot of the bigger questions the world make a lot more sense, and it shows you why we can predict a lot of the things that we think are unpredictable when it comes to human interaction. He also tells you how you should buy your next car, which would take some guts but is pretty awesome.
Rating: 5 / 5
I saw this author interviewed on CNN and bought the book shortly thereafter. I found it to be quite fascinating and very insightful. Wow, what an amazing book!!!
Rating: 5 / 5
I just completed this book and its a eye opener. I saw Bruce on the History channel and I became curious about his work. In every age there is always the pioneers, the ones that see things a little differently but have a new idea. New ideas that take sometimes a long time to soak into the society around them. He is really onto somthing here and it deserves a much closer look and to be taken seriously. I like the objective analysis and mathmatical background. I don’t fault him for not providing a detail run time algorithm in this book. Bruce is trying to open our eye here; if you want to get into the details of the statistical process then these are avilable in peer reviewed articles you can find at your local University libarary.
For me I was astonished at the scope and breadth of his analysis. His thinking takes us to a new way of looking at politics and economics. After I finished I am surprised that more goverment agencies are not already doing this type of analysis for everything. I am looking forward to seeing how his works is expanded in the future as other serious scholars advance his ideas.
Rating: 5 / 5
This fascinating book explains for the layperson how game theory can be applied in complex situations to predict outcomes and solve problems. It contains practical wisdom, such as how to buy a new car at the lowest price. (That advice alone is worth the price of the book!) But more valuable are the insights it offers into how negotiators can deal effectively with dictators in such countries as Iran and North Korea, with leaders in the Middle East conflict, and with corporate executives (and their lawyers). In addition to contemporary problems, the author uses a variety of historical events to illuminate how game theory can explain outcomes. Extraordinarily entertaining, The Predictioneer’s Game will be (I predict) a great favorite with book groups, where it is sure to stimulate animated discussion.
Rating: 5 / 5